PROBABILITY AND PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

Probability plays a large role in Statistics.  It is the foundation for hypothesis testing, and many other areas of society. There are many different probability distributions that are used frequently in many sectors. Below you will find types of probability, and commonly used probability distributions.  Both discrete and continuous probability distributions are addressed.

Types of Probability

In this section, the different types of probability will be defined with examples of how to find them.  Types of probability include theoretical (or classical), experimental (or empirical) and subjective probability.

Theoretical or Classical
Theoretic Probability of Playing Cards
Experimental or Empirical
Experimental Probability from Frequency Table
Subjective 
Law of Large Numbers
Discrete vs Continuous Random Variables
Probability from a Two-Way Table

Counting Rules

Counting is an important part of probability. It is important to be able to find the total number of possibilities an event occur. Counting rules include the fundamental counting principal, combinations and permutations. We need to be able to find the total possible number of outcomes to find the probability. Finding probability using these principals will also be demonstrated in the next section.

Fundamental Counting Principal
Finding Number of Passwords
Permutations Defined
Combinations Defined
Permutations Arranging All Items
Permutations Selecting Some
Combinations
Combinations TI-84
Combinations TI-Nspire
Multiple Combinations
Multiple Combinations TI-84
Multiple Combinations TI-Nspire

Probability with Permutations and Combinations

This section will address how to find the probability of an event when dealing with permutations or combinations of events. To find the probability, you must understand the rules for permutations and combinations which are covered in the above section.

Finding Prob. Involving Combinations
Finding Prob. Involving Combinations-TI-84
Finding Prob. Involving Combinations-TI-Nspire
Probability of Matching 5 of 6 Numbers in a 43 Number Lottery

Probability Rules

In this section, we will look at several types of general probability rules. Bayes rule is a common rule used in Statistics to a find a probability when given a prior even occurring. Videos also cover example of "and" and "or" probability rules. When working with "and" probabilities, you must first determine if the events are independent (the probability of the first event doesn't change the probability of the second event.) Both "and" probability rules for independent and dependent events will be discussed. I will also demonstrate the different "or" probability rules.  If the events cannot occur at the same time, they use a different rule than if the can occur at the same time.

Bayes Rule to find the Probability of a Disease given the Person Tested Positive
"Or" Probability Rules with Playing Card Example
"And" Probability Rules with Examples
Probability Rules with Two Way Tables
Probability Using the Fundamental Counting Principle
Complementary Events in Probability
Probability with a Tree Diagram

Discrete Probability Distributions

In this section, we will look at how to create a discrete distribution, and some commonly used discrete distributions.  A discrete random variable is a variable that can be counted. It cannot contain any fractions or decimals, only counting numbers for the random variable x.  There are general discrete probability distributions, and then special cases. The videos in this section show how to work with general discrete probability distributions.  The graph of a discrete distribution is always a histogram. In the next section, we will look at a common discrete distribution which is the Binomial distribution. 

Creating a Discrete Distribution TI-Nspire
Creating a Discrete Probability Distribution TI-84
Creating a Discrete Probability Distribution Using Excel
Finding Probabilities from a Prob. Distribution
Mean, Variance, St. Deviation of Random Discrete Variables - TI-84
Mean, Variance, and St. Deviation Discrete Random Variable-TI-Nspire
Mean, Variance, and St. Deviation Discrete Random Variable-Excel
Expected Value for a Prob. Distribution
Expected Value of a Prob. Distribution TI-84
Expected Value of a Prob. Distribution Nspire

Binomial Probability Distributions

In this section,we will look at the binomial distribution. In order to be binomial, the outcomes must be able to be classified as a success or a failure, the probability of success must be the same throughout, the events must be independent of each other, there must be a fixed number of trials, and the random variable x represents the possible number of successes in the experiment. An example of a binomial experiment would be rolling a die 10 times, and recording the number of 5's that are rolled. Binomial distributions are very commonly used discrete distributions.

Binomial Probability TI-84
Binomial Probability TI-Nspire
Binomial Probability Excel 2016
Binomial Probability Using ClassCalc (a free online graphing calculator)
Binomial Prob. Distribution and Histogram in TI-84
Binomial Prob. Distribution in TI-Nspire
Binomial Prob. Distribution in Excel
Mean, Variance, and St. Deviation for Binomial Distribution

Normal Distribution

The normal distribution is the most commonly used continuous distribution in Statistics. The normal distribution follows the empirical rule or the 68-95-99.7 rule. The normal distribution has a lot of uses in our society. The standard normal distribution allows us to compare different distributions with different scales. The random variable x would be converted to a z-score in order to use the standard normal distribution. The standard normal distribution has a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1. Normal distributions can have any mean and any standard deviation.

Area Under Normal Curve -Z-table
Find Area Under Normal Curve - TI-84
Find Area Under Normal Curve - TI-Nspire
Find Area Under Normal Curve - Classcalc
Find Area Under Normal Curve - Excel
Prob. for Normal Distribution -Z-table
Prob. for Normal Distribution-TI-84
Prob. for Normal Distribution-TI-Nspire
Prob. for Normal Distribution-ClassCalc
Prob. for Normal Distribution-Excel
Finding z-score Corresponding
to Given Area - z-table
Find z-score Given Area : TI-84
Find z-score: TI-84
Find z-score Given Area - TI-Nspire
Find z-score TI-Nspire
Find z-score using Excel
Find z-score using ClassCalc
Find X-Value for a Normal Distribution - TI-84
Find X-Value for a Normal Distribution - Excel
Find X-Value for a Normal Distribution - Normal Table
Find X-Value for a Normal Distribution - ClassCalc

Central Limit Theorem

The central limit theorem states that if you start with a normally distributed population (any sample size), or if you have a sample that is at least 30, the sampling distribution of the sampling means will approach a normal model with mean equal to the population mean, and standard error equal to the population standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size. The distribution of the sampling distribution of the sample proportions will also approach a normal model.

The Central Limit Theorem
Mean and Standard Error of Sampling Distribution of Sample Means
Find Prob. of a Sample Mean-Using a z-Table
Find Probability of a Sample Mean-TI-84
Find Probability of a Sample Mean-TI-Nspire
Find Probability of a Sample Mean-ClassCalc
Quality Control: Mean and St. Dev. of Sampling Distribution of Multiple Samples
Quality Control: Mean and St. Dev. of Sampling Distribution of
Multiple Samples TI-84
Quality Control: Mean and St. Dev. of Sampling Distribution of Multiple Samples TI-Nspire